Current poll results

Results for September 29 – 30, 2014

Executive Summary

Winter Springs, Fla. – Strong support for Republican candidates along with varying opinions on current hot-button political topics highlight a recent Human Events and Gravis Marketing survey completed in the State of Montana. Gravis Marketing, a non-partisan research firm based on Winter Springs, Fla. recently conducted a random survey of 535 likely registered voters in Montana regarding statewide candidates and other potential match-ups. The poll which took place between September 29th – 30th was completed using Gravis Marketing IVR Technology and carries a margin of error of 4%.

Of the 535 likely registered voters that were surveyed, 36% stated they were Republican, 35% indicated they were ‘Independent’ voters while 29% align with the Democratic Party.

Federal Polling Recap

The first question asked to the likely registered voters in Montana inquired about their opinions of the job performance for President Barack Obama. An overwhelming majority of 57% of voters currently disapprove of the President’s job performance, 36% approve of his job performance and only 7% were unsure of their opinion.

Potential Match-Ups for President 2016

The scope of the Federal politics survey then shifted to capture the pulse of Montana voters in regards to potential match-ups in the upcoming 2016 General Election for the office of President of the United States. Democrat Hillary Clinton was matched-up against three leading potential Republican candidates including former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky and former Vice-Presidential nominee Congressman Paul Ryan.

When asked to choose between Clinton or Bush, 45% of those surveyed would currently vote for the Former Gov of Florida, Jeb Bush while 36% indicated they would vote for Clinton. 19% of the likely voters were ‘unsure’ at this moment. When asked to choose between Clinton and Rand Paul, 46% selected Paul, 38% would cast a vote for Clinton and 16% were ‘unsure’. The largest gap between potential candidates was when voters were asked to choose between Congressman Paul Ryan and Clinton. 51% of those polled stated they would currently vote for Paul Ryan, 37% would support Clinton and 11% were ‘unsure’ at the time of the Gravis Marketing poll was completed.

The Gravis Poll then asked potential voters in Montana, “Are you comfortable with federal authorities bringing illegal aliens into Montana from the Mexican border?” 66 of those polled stated “no”, they are NOT comfortable with federal authorities bringing illegal aliens into Montana, 20% were “unsure” while 13% said “yes”.